DM33 wrote "Kurzweil states that from 1900-1999 humankind evolved the equivalent to 1,000 years of evolution based on its previous evolutionary process."
MarkoftheStoat wrote "Actually, technology evolved not humankind. This is a rather crucial point even the most (supposedly) brilliant thinkers seem to fail to grasp time ad time again. It is this confusion between technological evolution and human evolution which is why we are in such a pickle today!"
Thanks for the correction. You are right I meant technology evolved but that it also moved mankind forward (instead of evolved) 1,000 years.
"The quote from Kurzweil which seems so innocuous is the perfect example of this. We believe (or we are told to believe) we are 'so advanced today' but the truth is it is technology which is so advanced today, not us. People, the human animal is (at least where technology is abundant) generally fat, poisoned, slow thinking, unfit, depressed, medicated, struggling with relationships, struggling with finances, either unimaginative or unfulfilled, stuck in self destructive habits, unskilled in even the most basic survival skills, ignorant of even the most basic health maintenance and sickness treatment skills, scared of and detached from society ... this is hardly evolution! .. and we are so dependent on our ever evolving technology that should it fail (a power cut, an oil shortage, an economic crash) many of us could easily be literally starving to death within days. "
But technology and its creator, the human race, cannot be separated. Technology can not come from its self, it has to come from biology, we have to create it. Yes, there are many forms of technology in nature but none of them will lead to robots or cyborgs. This leap has to come from a sufficiently evolved organism like a human. Do we have faults? Yes. But the positive thing in the world is that it only takes a few "good" people to nullify all the bad crap everyone else is doing.
The general public will always be the same. You can go back 100, 200, 500, 1000, 5000 years and you will see that there were always the few that climbed out of the human muck and achieved greatness and thus changing modes of living and human destiny forever. The fat, poisonous slobs you speak of have always been here and will always be here. It may take another 1000+ years for humanity to "grow up" sufficiently so that the average person may be beyond the level of a glorified animal. It will take technology to do this.
But, don't under estimate technology. What you and I see in everyday life is only a small percentage of what is really out there. Governments and scientists are working on projects and technologies RIGHT NOW that you might think are decades or centuries away. The exponential growth in speeds of a CPU will accelerate the speed of advancement we will be able to achieve.
Right now a computer is basically a mouse computation wise, but in only one decade it might be a human. Once that achievement is quantified, meaning taking many computers with the CPU equivalent of a human brain and linking them together, the whole will be "smarter" than the part. Then, this computer network will be put to solving problems that face mankind ie global warming, pollution. These faster-than-human computers will be able to do extraordinary things in a very short time.
Today, it takes years to map a genome of an organism. In 10-15 years it will take minutes and the information learned from such discoveries will be assimilated into our lives much faster. The time its taking for a society to assimilate a new technology is getting shorter and shorter. Think of the time it took to assimilate these into society: telephone, TV, microwave, internet, cellphone, ipod.
How long did it take the US or Europe to have a telephone or TV in almost every house? Decades. How long did it take for a cellphone or ipod? Only a few years. The next big technological advancement will take hold even faster.
Yes, humanity is, en mass, still in the dark ages but its the technology that can push us all up and forward and we only need a few people working on the right things to do this.
Natural human evolution is much to slow. We can't sit around 1 million years waiting to adjust to an environmental problem or natural disaster. Yes, we are bypassing human evolution, this is a natural process. We are headed toward the age of the cyborg for sure and in this new age we will be fit enough for natural disasters or maybe even our own ie global warming. Also, earth is a ticking time bomb. At some point we have to figure out how to get off of it.
What is it all headed toward?
"Life" and living beings want to spread. We need to replicate and populate the earth, then moon, mars, Jupiter's moons, Pluto, and then the next closest system. The only way to do this with out destroying the earth is thru technology. But, right now we are behind technologically. Our ability to ruin the ecology is farther advanced of our ability to fix it but technology can fix this. We have more disease than cures, we have to much pollution...only technology can fix these problems fast enough to save the planet. We can't stop having children or spreading...that is a natural process. We have to advance in such a way that this spreading is done yet the impact is small. What else can do this but technology?
It seems we are programmed for this spreading and advancement and the frail human body cannot meet the physical requirements for these sort of journeys (to outer space).
There are many pitfalls in this process and we are not out of danger yet, we are actually heading into more dangerous territory but if we can overcome the ability to destroy ourselves we could find ourselves on the brink of the greatest, most amazing discoveries the human race has ever seen and we will happily assimilate this technology in order to achieve a new level of experience.
But, to get back to the original issues regarding thinking, computation, and consciousness; to me thinking and computation are the same and robots and computers can easily achieve this and are doing so now. But, to me, consciousness is beyond thinking and thinking is a result of consciousness. A purely robotic or computerized object can not have consciousness, all its thinking is due to a CPU. We can say that it's consciousness is electricity, which is physical and still a computation in itself, so it can't really have consciousness.
This will ultimately lead to dialogue about a god and whether one exists and how it is known...and who really did create VSL? LOL!
DM33